I thought this hand was interesting because you don’t get in a ton of spots where you’re deciding to call a massive over bet w/ a weak made hand. Here’s the hand below, and watch the video for my thought process: PokerStars – $2 NL (6 max) – Holdem – 6 players CO: 540.8 BB (VPIP: 54.17, PFR: 34.72, 3Bet Preflop: 3.23, Hands: 74) BTN: 103 BB (VPIP: 38.78, PFR: 20.41, 3Bet Preflop: 16.67, Hands: 50) SB: 112.44 BB (VPIP: 25.79, PFR: 20.53, 3Bet Preflop: 3.85, Hands: 60) BB: 115.52 BB (VPIP: 24.39, PFR: 14.63, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 41) Hero (UTG): 175.32 BB MP: 127.28 BB (VPIP: 31.51, PFR: 25.44, 3Bet Preflop: 6.94, Hands: 74) SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has 7♥ 5♥ Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, BTN calls 3 BB, fold, fold Flop: (7.4 BB, 2 players) Q♣ 8♥ 8♣ Hero bets 4.68 BB, BTN calls 4.68 BB Turn: (16.76 BB, 2 players) 5♣ Hero checks, BTN bets 8.36 BB, Hero calls 8.36 BB River: (33.48 BB, 2 players) 7♠ Hero checks, BTN bets 86.96 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 86.96 BB ============================================================================ […]
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I see a lot of hand histories posted on poker forums sometimes where certain hands and ranges aren’t even considered. “There’s no way someone can have X or Y in this spot”, is what’s usually said in one form or another. That’s a HUGE HUGE mistake to get in the habit of thinking. Your goal in understanding the opponents you’re playing against, and their hand ranges is to be able to start weighting ranges in a way that makes sense, and accounts for the occasional “spaz” also, because they happen. Even tight and seeminlgy passive players “spaz” out. Take case in point this hand the other day. I played this while testing out DriveHUD – poker hud. I had about 70 hands on my opponent at this point and they were running (26/2/32% AGG). So for full ring, this is someone who is playing too many hands, and playing them passively pre-flop AND post flop. It’s a small sample, but more or less the deviation is on such a polarized side of these ranges, it’s a pretty safe conclusion to reach. Let’s take a look at the hand: Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD Poker HUD & […]